What Is Happening With India’s Unified Payments Interface (UPI), the World’s Largest Real-Time Payments System?

For the first time since its launch a decade ago, merchants will soon have to pay fees to use the system. Some are suggesting that Washington may be behind the move.

In September, India’s Narendra Modi government unveiled a radical change to its Unified Payments Interface (UPI), the country’s instant digital payment system. That change involved the introduction of fees for the first time since its pilot launch in 2016. In September, the National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI) said a 0.4% fee would apply from October 15 (i.e. yesterday) to certain UPI payments above 2,000 rupees ($21) made to businesses by customers.

The initial announcement sparked fears that the fees could raise expenses for businesses, and by extension their customers, and discourage them from using the system. As those fears rose, the authorities made a partial U-turn. On October 13, just two days before the fee was to come into effect, the NCPI postponed the rollout until after the Diwali festival. But it is only a temporary respite.

UPI is the world’s largest real time payments system, with over 500 million users. In August alone, it processed 24.51 billion transactions worth ₹29.82 trillion ($314 billion). However, one of the main reasons for UPI’s undeniable success is that it is (or at least was) free to use for everyone. Many vendors originally made the switch to UPI because it was promoted as a free, convenient payment solution.

Launched in 2016 as a private-public partnership, UPI lets people send and receive money instantly through mobile apps, much like Brazil’s Pix system. The speed and ease of use has made it an integral part of the Indian economy, used by everyone — from small vendors to large corporations. As Business Times notes (with the media’s usual disdain for cash), “paying for goods no longer involves handling grubby old currency notes.”

The payment rails undergirding the system are operated by the National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI), an umbrella organisation established as a not-for-profit initiative by major banks. The underlying protocol standardises real-time bank-to-bank transfers so that any bank or wallet can talk to any other without closed, proprietary walls.

This has allowed private companies to build consumer and merchant apps that sit on top of the public payment rails. Until now, the government, banks and payment companies have borne the cost of running and expanding the system, which is currently dominated by two foreign-owned apps: Walmart’s PhonePe and Alphabet’s Google Pay, which together enjoy around 80% market ​share by value of UPI transactions.

The new charge, known as the Merchant Discount Rate (MDR), is expected to help cover some of those costs, and will be distributed among payment system providers — including banks — to support operations and continued expansion, the finance ministry press release stated. That’s the official reason, but it may not be the only one. As some are pointing out, the US government may also have played a part in the decision.

Interesting Timing

The announcement of the introduction of the MDR came just as India and the US are working to finalise their bilateral trade deal. This has fuelled speculation that the Modi government was pressured by the Trump administration into imposing the fee. Earlier this week, Congress Congress general secretary Jairam Ramesh said the government had broken the trust of UPI users and asked whether it had done so on behalf of US companies to appease Trump.

While there is no definitive proof to back that assertion, Washington has persistently pushed most of its trade partners to create a level playing field in their respective digital transaction ecosystem, reports India Express:

Since UPI’s launch in 2016, US payments market intermediaries Visa and Mastercard have cited loss of potential business as consumers in India increasingly turned to free UPI payments rather than using cards.

The Delhi-based think tank Global Trade Initiative (GTRI) said that the companies object to the “Zero transaction charges for UPI and RuPay, government promotion of RuPay, and RuPay’s early access to credit-card payments through UPI. This has strengthened RuPay and reduced the fee income of US card companies, it said.

It said that the two companies operate under a model where banks, payment processors and card networks earn fees from merchant transactions. A widely available, interoperable and zero-Merchant Discount Rate (MDR) platform, such as UPI, limits this revenue pool. An MDR is levied on merchants by banks that process payments to help meet transaction processing, settlement and infrastructure costs.

Further, RuPay challenges their position by providing an Indian card network that can be integrated closely with domestic policy objectives, GTRI said.

In March, the United States Trade Representative (USTR) had classified India’s digital payment policies “favouring” domestic players as a foreign trade barrier. Such barriers in various sectors are prominent demands under the proposed US-India trade deal.

The USTR said that “it has expressed concerns related to the inability of US electronic payment services suppliers to participate in the UPI ecosystem, including credit transactions on UPI on a level playing field with RuPay”.

“In November 2020, National Payment Corporation of India (NPCI) announced a market share limitation of 30% (measured by transactions) for third-party app providers initiating online payments made through India’s UPI. While this market share cap for third-party payment apps was originally mandated for January 2023, the NPCI has deferred enforcement, with the current deadline set for December 2026. As of December 31, 2025, two US-owned EPA suppliers together processed more than 80% of all UPI transactions,” USTR said. These suppliers are Walmart-backed PhonePe and Google Pay.

In other words, the USTR is concerned not only about the risk of UPI and its accompanying global card payment network, Rupay, eroding the market share of VISA and Mastercard in India (and potentially beyond), but also about India’s plans to reduce the dominance of the two US-owned payment apps, Walmart’s PhonePe and Alphabet’s GooglePay, over the UPI space.

Parallels With Brazil

This is not the first time the US has tried to bully a country into changing its indigenous payment system. As we have previously reported, Brazil’s development of Pix, a publicly owned and controlled digital payments system that has reduced the country’s dependence not only on Visa and Mastercard’s global duopoly but also on the mobile payment apps of US tech giants, has caused consternation on Wall Street and Silicon Valley, and by extension Washington DC.

The Office of the US Trade Representative began investigating PIX last year, warning that Brazil has given an unfair advantage to the digital payments system by requiring all banks to offer it. According to the NY Times, US trade authorities are also concerned that, by protecting consumer data that Pix collects, the Brazilian government is hurting American companies that use such information to make business decisions and develop new products.

“U.S. companies see this data as critical,” said Ignacio Carballo, a senior consultant at Payments and Commerce Markets Intelligence, a research firm based in San Francisco. “This places a lot of power in the hands of Brazil’s government.”

By embracing a largely publicly led digital payments infrastructure that cuts out the usual middle men, Brazil has turned financial innovation on its head. In most advanced economies, cash’s dominant role in the retail payments system has been eroded by digital payment alternatives, mainly from the private sector, in particular contactless debit and credit cards. Mobile wallets operated by US tech giants are also on the rise.

This has been a massive boon for Visa and Mastercard, which have done everything they can to supplant their biggest rival (to date), cash. In Brazil, however, Pix has not just overtaken cash; it has overtaken everything. As an article in Rest of World notes, it overtook debit card transactions in January 2022 and credit cards in February 2022, and now dwarfs transactions via credit cards, debit cards, bank slips, wire transfers, prepaid cards, and checks combined.

One major difference between Pix and UPI is that Pix is a public payments system created, owned, and operated by the Central Bank of Brazil (BCB) whereas UPI is a private-public system that is already dominated by two US-owned apps. Also, Brazil’s President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has resisted US pressure to bring Pix into line. A few months ago, he rejected any possibility of Pix being altered or privatised in order to benefit US financial interests.

“We defend Pix from any attempt at privatization. Pix is from Brazil. It’s public, it’s free and it’s going to stay that way.”

That said, Lula may soon no longer be president of Brazil, if recent polls for the second round of the upcoming presidential elections are any indication…

Click here to read the full article on Naked Capitalism

Leave a Comment